| Price | Qty | Total |
|---|
| Market | Outcome | Shares | Avg Price | Current | P&L | If Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLPP 2028 Election | Yes | 50 | 58¢ | 62¢ | +$2.00 | $50.00 |
| Leone/USD Rate > 25k | Yes | 30 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$1.20 | $30.00 |
| Leone Stars AFCON | No | 25 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$1.25 | $25.00 |
| Type | Description | Amount | Status | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deposit | Mobile Money Deposit | +$50.00 | completed | 7d ago |
| Trade | Buy 50 Yes @ 58c - SLPP Election | -$29.00 | completed | 5d ago |
| Deposit | Bank Transfer Deposit | +$100.00 | completed | 3d ago |
| Trade | Buy 30 Yes @ 69c - Leone/USD Rate | -$20.70 | completed | 2d ago |
| Fee | Trading Fee | -$0.41 | completed | 2d ago |
| Withdrawal | Withdrawal to Orange Money | -$10.00 | pending | 6h ago |
Predicta is a real-world event contract exchange where you trade on the outcomes of real-world events, modeled after regulated event exchanges like Kalshi. Instead of crypto or USDC, you trade in your local West African currency. Our treasury handles the conversion to USD/USDC behind the scenes for stability.
An event contract exchange lets you buy and sell shares in the outcome of real-world events. Each market poses a simple yes-or-no question — for example, "Will Bitcoin exceed $150,000 by December 2026?"
Shares are priced between 0¢ and 100¢, representing the probability of an outcome. A share priced at 73¢ means the market believes there's roughly a 73% chance the event will occur. Price = Probability.
Every market is fully collateralized: the price of a Yes share + the price of a No share always equals the local currency equivalent of $1.00. If Yes is at 73¢, No is at 27¢. This is the same system used by Polymarket and Kalshi.
Every market has two outcomes: Yes and No. Their prices always add up to the local currency equivalent of $1.00. Every trade is fully collateralized — you pay the full amount upfront. No margin, no debt, no surprises.
The market asks: "Will Bitcoin exceed $150,000 by December 2026?"
Yes shares are trading at 35¢ (No shares are at 65¢). You believe Bitcoin will hit the target, so you buy 100 Yes shares for Le 7.88 (100 × 35¢ in local currency).
If Bitcoin exceeds $150k → each Yes share pays the equivalent of $1.00, you get Le 22.50 (profit: Le 14.63).
If it doesn't → Yes shares expire at $0.00 (loss: Le 7.88 — exactly what you paid, nothing more).
When a market resolves (the event's outcome is determined), payouts are automatic and instant:
Your profit = (payout - purchase price) × number of shares
Example: Buy 100 Yes at 35¢ = Le 7.88 investment. If you're right: Le 22.50 payout, profit of Le 14.63.
Max loss is always what you paid. No margin, no hidden fees, no debt. Fully collateralized.
Prices are set by supply and demand — buyers and sellers placing orders on the order book. When you open a market, you'll see:
The spread is the gap between bid and ask. Tighter spreads mean more active, liquid markets. Implied Ask: Best Yes Ask = 100¢ - Best No Bid.
All deposits and withdrawals are in your local currency. Predicta's treasury automatically converts to USD/USDC internally for stability — protecting your balance from local currency fluctuations.
Deposit via mobile money (Orange Money, MTN MoMo, Africell Money) or fintech apps (OPay, PalmPay, Vult, EZPay). Your local currency is automatically converted to USD/USDC at the live exchange rate.
All share prices on the platform are displayed in your local currency equivalent. When you withdraw or receive a payout, the treasury converts back to your local currency at the current rate.
This protects your trading balance from local currency fluctuations — your money maintains its purchasing power regardless of exchange rate swings.
Predicta serves 6 West African countries:
Every market has clear, verifiable resolution criteria defined when it's created — just like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Predicta operates as a real-world event contract exchange — fundamentally different from gambling. Like stock and commodity exchanges, event contract prices are driven by supply, demand, and information. Prices reflect research, analysis, and collective intelligence. The more you know, the better your trades. You can exit your position at any time by selling your shares on the open market — just like selling stocks.
Each market has clear resolution criteria defined when it's created. Resolution is based on official, publicly verifiable sources (government data, official results, verifiable records). Markets resolve when the event occurs, the deadline passes, or the outcome becomes certain. Winning shares are automatically paid out — no action needed. If a resolution is contested, the platform reviews it based on the original criteria.
Your maximum loss is exactly what you paid for the shares — nothing more. Every trade is fully collateralized: you pay the full amount upfront. There's no margin, no leverage, no debt, and no hidden fees that can amplify your losses. If you buy 50 Yes shares at 60¢ each (Le 675,000 total), the most you can lose is Le 675,000.
Yes! You can sell your shares at any time at the current market price. This lets you take profit early if the price has moved in your favor, or cut your losses if you've changed your mind.
Local currency in, local currency out. You deposit via mobile money or fintech in your local currency. Predicta's treasury converts it to USD/USDC at the live exchange rate for stability. When you withdraw or receive a payout, the treasury converts back to your local currency. All conversions happen automatically. Deposits process in 2–5 minutes, withdrawals in 5–30 minutes.
Minting is how new shares enter the market. When a Yes buyer at X¢ and a No buyer at (100-X)¢ meet, the system creates one Yes share and one No share from the equivalent of $1.00 in collateral. Merging is the reverse: if you hold 1 Yes share and 1 No share in the same market, you can cash them in for the equivalent of $1.00 anytime before resolution — guaranteed, regardless of the current share price.
Makers (limit orders): 0% fee — you're rewarded for providing liquidity. Takers (market orders): small fee — helps keep the platform running. No deposit fees. A small withdrawal processing fee applies.
Stability. Local currencies in West Africa can fluctuate significantly. By holding your trading balance in USD/USDC, your money maintains its purchasing power regardless of local exchange rate swings. When you deposit, we convert at the live rate. When you withdraw, we convert back. You always transact in your local currency — the USD/USDC conversion is handled entirely by the treasury behind the scenes.